Uncertainty: Concepts and Philosophy

Is the uncertainty a property of the result, or is it a property of us? Explore uncertainty from both a philosophical and practical perspective. This lecture explores the nature of uncertainty, why it matters, and how to assess it in meaningful ways. Learn why assessing uncertainty is important, and explore different methods for modeling uncertainty. Learn how to construct an uncertainty budget to quantify uncertainty in complex systems. Finally, understand how to evaluate the reliability and quality of uncertainty estimates as well as reflect on the ethical implications of uncertainty.